15 January 2025

World Cement Association challenges forecasts in demand

The Association projects a significant decline in demand for cement by 2050.

© charlesdeluvio/unsplash

A white paper on Long-Term Forecast for Cement and Clinker Demand highlights pivotal changes driven by decarbonisation, technological advancements and market dynamics.

The report examines disruptive factors such as alternative materials, supply chain optimisation and clinker-free technologies, which are reshaping demand patterns.

By outlining three potential scenarios, it provides a roadmap for stakeholders to adapt to varying degrees of change and seize opportunities for innovation.

Key findings include: 

  • Global cement demand is likely to decline to 3bln tpa by 2050, far below existing forecasts.
  • Clinker demand, the main source of COemissions in cement production, is expected to decrease even more steeply, reaching 1.5bln tpa by 2050.
  • The need for carbon capture and storage will consequently be reduced, impacting investment and policy priorities.

Ian Riley, CEO of the World Cement Association and author of the report, comments, 'The cement industry is undergoing an unprecedented transformation. As we move towards a decarbonised future, understanding the true demand for cement and clinker is critical to ensuring that policies, technologies and investments align with reality.

'This white paper aims to provide industry leaders and policymakers with the clarity needed to plan effectively and sustainably.'